Thursday, March 11, 2021
Biased News - Dissection of an Article
Sunday, March 7, 2021
Is Raya and the Last Dragon about 2021 America?
***Mild Spoilers for Raya and the Last Dragon***
Raya and the Last Dragon, Disney's most recent animated feature film, offers a much needed lesson for today. Its theme and message are timeless and are sorely needed in the fractured world in which it finds itself. While the moral it espouses is not new, those who practice and preach it are as endangered in our world as the dragons are in its.
In Raya, the story begins six years after society collapses, and centuries after a war that nearly destroyed the world. Five hundred years ago, creatures called Druuns, shapeless monsters that turn living things they envelop into stone, ravaged the world, petrifying humans and dragons alike. Humans had no defense against them, but dragons had the power to fight them. Despite their magic, even the dragons succumbed. When only a handful of dragons remained, the final dragons forged their powers into a gemstone which neutralized the Druuns permanently, allowing humans to flourish again.
No longer threatened by the Druuns nor guided by the dragons, humans behaved as humans do, splitting into factions and becoming mistrustful of others. Their world, Kumandra, splits into five countries representing the body of a dragon - fangs, spine, heart, talon, and tail. For 500 years, the tribes enjoy an uneasy peace. While they don't trust each other and are always prepared for battle, power is roughly equal across the tribes and a multilateral cold war results.
Raya's father Benja leads Heart and protects the gemstone containing the dragons' power. The story begins when Benja decides that it's time to reunite all the tribes and invites the leaders from Fang, Talon, Spine, and Tail for a state dinner in hopes that reunification will eventually develop. Raya befriends the princess of Fang, Namaari, who gives Raya a dragon necklace as a token of friendship. In return, Raya takes Namaari to see the dragon gemstone. Namaari, however, attacks Raya and calls in Fang troops, as her plan had been to befriend Raya so that Fang could capture the gemstone.
Benja immediately comes to help Raya protect the gemstone, while the other tribes' leaders arrive shortly thereafter. Benja again pushes for peace and unity, but he is shot in the leg. Immediately after, all the tribes begin fighting for the gemstone, and it falls to the ground and breaks into five pieces. The Druuns immediately reappear and resume their war on humans. Each tribal leader grabs a piece of the stone and escapes. Raya helps Benja leave, but Benja throws her into the river to save her from the Druuns shortly before he turns to stone.
The movie jumps six years into the future, as Raya tries to undo the damage from that night and bring back her father. The plot follows Raya as she seeks the last dragon who is said to have survived its battle and then to recover the pieces of the gemstone. The real challenge Raya must overcome, however, is her lack of trust. After seeing her father and his dream of unity die because he took a step towards peace and trusted others, and because she herself trusted someone who betrayed her, Raya lost any faith in people she had. Raya's arc hinges on this distrust, and she must overcome it to bring back her father and her people and unite Kumandra.
The world today is a lot like Raya's Kumandra, especially politically. Over the past few decades, the country has become intensely tribal along political lines. Red states and blue states only begin to describe the level of animosity seen. On Twitter, on news sites' comment pages, on cable news networks, we call the other side names, ascribe to them malicious intent, attribute their motivations cynical self-interest. These forums, unfortunately, reward tribalism. The more someone calls the other side corrupt and the more extreme their language, the higher their tribe raises them.
Another outcome of this is that even those people in the center, not wanting to fight, can't escape the frenzy. Tribalism not only strengthens the extreme elements, but it affects how we see the less extreme elements. If you're not "us" you're "them", and since you are good, "they" must be bad. Tribalism muddies our perception of people. Even though those who disagree with you may be better people than many of those who agree with you, you're pushed into thinking the opposite. We look for reasons not to trust one another.
On Twitter, I've had many disagreements with people on the other side of the political schism. I've tried immensely to keep things polite, and I've never made things personal or questioned anyone's motives or put someone down in even the mildest way. While my sparring partners have used mild personal attacks, they've never said anything egregiously insulting to me. Generally, when a personal attack is used against me (and they have all been relatively tame), I call attention to it. Half the time the reaction is to abandon it, the other half is to criticize me for being sensitive.
How Twitter reflects the conflict in Raya, though, is that it is extremely difficult to get someone on Twitter to either admit a good argument from the other side that hurts their own side, or even to admit somewhere they agree. These are obvious manifestations of tribalism, the inability to even slightly side with another tribe. Acknowledging either is a type of olive branch to the other side, an act of good-faith. To date, I have only once been the recipient, and it took multiple back and forth tweets and me digging up a quotation from a public figure which directly proved my own argument. But until I provided a direct quote, my opponent would not even acknowledge the possibility of a different interpretation. Tribalism prevented him from even entertaining the notion that there was any interpretation of an ambiguous quote other than the one he defended.
The moral of Raya, is that to be a strong, united people again, we must be able to trust others and they have to trust us. Until we are prepared to stop judging each other based on the worst actions of the worst elements and demonstrate we are worthy of trust by going out on a limb and exposing ourselves, we will continue to come apart.
The great irony is that the people who would most benefit from this lesson already believe themselves to be the paragons, to need no lessons in humanity. I'm sure you do, yourself, dear reader, so I urge you to ask yourself, and push others to ask themselves, which tribe are you in? When you're arguing with the other tribe, do you seek common ground? Do you seek to narrow the scope of disagreement or to expand it? When you disagree, do you immediately assume that the other person is ignorant, unintelligent, indoctrinated, or cruel? Do you interpret their arguments in the worst possible way or the best? Honestly answering these questions will enable you to determine how tribal you are.
Whether you want a world where mistrust and hatred prevail and define us is a different question.
Friday, February 12, 2021
Double Standards Wrecking America
Once again, Democrats have done what they used to hyperventilate about Republicans potentially doing.
Yesterday, the NY Post published the accusation (from a whistleblower) that Governor Cuomo and his team hid data for political purposes. Ask yourself, how serious is this.
Now compare this to the announcement over the summer that the HHS would take over data reporting from the CDC. If you don't remember, there was a ten-alarm outrage fire from the media about politicizing data collection and hiding data. All of which was worried speculation based on the belief that Trump is the most evil and cynical human being that has ever lived.
Monday, February 8, 2021
How the Left Wins - Marjorie Taylor Greene Edition
The Marjorie Taylor Greene situation perfectly exemplifies how Democrats (and the media) do business to break all the rules and not look back.
For those who don't know, Marjorie Taylor Greene (or MGT for the twitterati) is a US Congresswoman from Georgia who has said some pretty outrageous things. I will not defend her sanity, her qualifications, her suitability for Congress, or her suitability to serve on committees other than to say that typically the media serially exaggerate, so she's probably not as crazy as they are projecting.
What I wish to debate is the narrower issue of whether or not the Democrats should strip her of her committee assignments. Every elected Congressperson is assigned committees to serve on in their respective legislative body by their party. The committee seats are allocated depending on the overall breakdown of the parties within their house. For example, if there were 50% Republicans and 50% Democrats, then the committees would each be 50/50, too.
The Democrats, though, want to remove Congresswoman Greene from her assignments. This is unprecedented, and Republicans argue that the Republicans should be the ones making this decision, not the Democrats. More broadly, considering the larger implications, should the Democrats do this, they are breaking a precedent and setting a new one, one in which the majority party can decide who serves on committees for the minority party. This is the argument. Looking forward, it's very likely that even if Democrats have a good argument that Ms. Greene shouldn't be on committees, what's to prevent that standard to erode over time?
This is exactly why Republicans have lost and will always lose. They are much less willing to break precedents and erode these standards. In addition to that, the media are much less protective of standards and precedents when Democrats are breaking them. A legitimate and informative media would have focused on the bigger picture arguments instead of hyping up all of Ms. Greene's statements. But this way, what does the American public think about the situation - only that Ms. Greene has said some crazy things and should probably be punished somehow. Since the only punishment being floated is removal from committees, they assume that's the proper punishment and agree it's reasonable.
In a nutshell, this is how Democrats and the media ceaselessly and successfully push the culture in their direction. First, they misinform the public by telling them one side of the story, the easy side, the provocative side. Not only that, but they build up the argument against by pointing to the most extreme elements that support their side. They completely ignore the legitimate arguments on the other side, and they break precedent. Finally, years from now, one of two things happens: 1) They do it all over again and move the ball farther forward towards their own goal or 2) When Republicans try it, they use all their tactics against the Republicans, and if Republicans say, 'yeah, but you didn't say anything before' then they dismiss that as 'whataboutism'.
Friday, January 22, 2021
The Media Then and Now
Several stories from President Biden's first two days in office really illustrate how differently the media treat President Biden from President Trump.
Pete Buttigieg's nomination to be Secretary of Transportation (compare to Trump's nominations) -
National Guard Kicked out of Capital
Biden's 100 million vaccine goal
Biden violating his own mask mandate
Try to imagine if any of these stories occurred during Trump's presidency and how the media would have covered them. Compare to how they're being covered now. Thinking about that, it's clear that the media's approach to the Trump years consisted of the following:
1. Ignore all context. Remember the spate of "racist" Cabinet nominees? The formula was simple, find one action they committed throughout their life, that could be interpreted as racist and then call them racist full stop. Ignore everything else about their life. If someone called them a racist in their past, then they are a racist full stop. Do not under any circumstances write a full story about the sum total of their life and the counter-examples. The press repeatedly ignored context in stories about Trump to paint everything as egregious. When he moved the embassy in Israel, there was scant mention that every president had promised to do so.
2. Interpret the story in the most negative way. For Cabinet nominees, if they only have private sector experience, lambast them for not having government experience. If they have government experience, criticize them for getting questions wrong. Ignore all the positive aspects. If one answer is wrong, then they are unqualified. The embassy story is another good example; how many people decried the move and said it meant the end of peace and imminent war? How many outlets pushed back?
3. Assume the most evil motivation. The press commonly attributed Trump's actions to evil intentions. They laid the groundwork for this by constantly claiming he was a racist and an authoritarian. Then when he would do something they didn't like or they misinterpreted, they would explain it by his being one or the other.
4. Assume that President Trump was responsible for anything bad that happened. This would apply to the story about the National Guard. There would be many stories about how awful this action was, and the assumption that Trump was directly responsible. Then they would talk about how he hates his base and he treats them like garbage.
How many on the left blame Trump for the Covid economy? Was Trump responsible for Covid? How does he compare to European leaders? Are other European leaders blamed for their Covid economy? There's no question that Trump could have handled Covid better, but the fact that several European countries did just as bad demonstrates that Trump wasn't uniquely bad. How often do you see comparisons of US to countries that are worse? A responsible media would show how US performance compares to countries better AND worse. Not just the countries that are better. The vaccination story is similar. The US is a top-5 vaccinating country, both in absolute terms and daily. Therefore, the media don't report on that, or if they do, they compare us to Israel, which is the best.
5. Repeat the same stories that the other outlets are reporting. This will serve to amplify the story. Notice how negative stories about Biden, where they exist, are extremely isolated.
6. Point out, amplify, and ridicule every hypocrisy and mistake. Imagine if Trump had issued an order that masks be worn on federal property and then was on federal property with a group of people unmasked. How many stories would be written about that? What would be the tone?
There's no question that the corporate media treat Biden differently than Trump. Since I can't fix it, and I doubt anyone can, it's vital that we illustrate this to as many people as possible so that they're aware of how they're being manipulated.
Thursday, January 21, 2021
The Resumption of the Unskeptical Press
President Biden has made it a goal of his to vaccinate 100 million people in the first 100 days of his first term. This, obviously, would require an average of 1 million people per day. Given the number of vaccinations that are occurring daily, however, this goal doesn't seem especially ambitious.
In light of this, it doesn't seem like it would take much effort to achieve Biden's goal. This can never be proven, but I would bet it would be achieved simply by making no changes to the current personnel or plan, but that won't be done.This all seems pretty straightforward. Perhaps the above analysis has a tinge of bias to it, but even many on the left wonder how ambitious this goal is, and any responsible journalist would surely point out that Trump left a system that was producing nearly 1 million per day, correct?
Doing a google search on "100 million vaccines" produced the following (in order)
"Biden vows to move 'heaven and earth to get 100 million vaccinated" (The Independent)
"Biden administration plans for Covid vaccines and pandemic response" (NBC News)
"Amazon is offering to help Biden get 100 million COVID-19 vaccinations to Americans in 100 days "(KTLA)
"For Biden, 100 Million Vaccinations in 100 Days Not Easy" (WebMD)
"Distribute 100 Million Covid-19 Vaccines in 100 Days" (NY Times Opinion)
"Is Biden's bold promise to vaccinate 100 million Americans in 100 days possible?" (The Hill)
Thursday, October 29, 2020
Censorship for Thee but not for Me
These are the opinions of the left, as I've surmised them. Not all of the left believes all of them, but I have heard or deduced each of these arguments from them.
1. The social media moderators try to reduce racist, hateful, and misinformation on their platforms.
2. The social media moderators, while mostly left-leaning, apply their standards blindly and without regard to politics.
3a. The right is more likely to generate content that fits into #1, and so gets suppressed more.
3b. There is no disparity between moderation of the left and right.
4. There is no moderation of the right. (Because right-leaning users have high engagement)
5. The word "suppress" is too polemical.
#3 is split into two, because both can't be true, but I've heard both arguments. #4 is a remarkably terrible argument. There are many reasons why the right can have high engagement despite an effort to reduce it. Making this argument is like saying masks have no effect on Covid spread because countries with mask mandates are seeing Covid spread. There is no way to infer the effect of a deterrent by observing the final amount of anactivity. The only thing that high engagement tells you is that any moderation isn't 100%, which no one is arguing.
This is what the right believes, as I understand it:
1. The social media moderators try to suppress racist, hateful, and misinformation, and that's ok.
2. The social media moderators, mostly left-leaning, apply their standards inconsistently and overzealously because of their own views.
Recent events are substantial evidence that #2 is true.
The NY Post story. First, Twitter banned the links altogether because the story was based on hacked e-mails or it contained private information, so they said. First, there was no evidence that the e-mails were hacked. Recovered under dubious circumstances, to be sure, but no indication they were obtained illegally. On the other hand, the NYTimes story about Trump's taxes was very likely based on tax returns obtained illegally. There's clearly a double-standard. Twitter has also never acted to suppress a political story that contained private information. Again the NYT story about Trump's taxes would seem to fit into this definition.
On the overzealous application of their "standards," the recent post from U.S. Customs and Border Protection Commissioner Mark Morgan is illustrative. Twitter suspended him for a post about the border wall. The text of the post: "[Customs Border Protection and US Army Corp of Engineers Headquarters] continue to build new wall every day. Every mile helps us stop gang members, murderers, sexual predators, and drugs from entering our country. It's a fact, walls work."
The explanation from Twitter: "You may not promote violence against, threaten, or harass other people on the basis of race, ethnicity, national origin, sexual orientation, gender, gender identity, religious affiliation, age, disability, or serious disease."
If we first remove everything that Twitter can't possibly be referring to: "You may not promote violence against, threaten, or harass other people on the basis of race, ethnicity, national origin....". Since there's no threat here, there's no promotion of violence, so it must be that Twitter believes this harasses other people. But still this doesn't seem to relate in anyway to the offending post.
In truth, Twitter blocked this because a moderator, representative of the left, inferred that Morgan is saying 100% of the people (who are overwhelmingly Latino) are "gang members, murderers, sexual predators, and drug [transporters]." Firstly, this is not what Morgan said, this is what Twitter inferred. Second, even if he had said exactly this, it still wouldn't fit the reason they cited, since it's not harassment. It would be an extremely egregious and racist form of stereotyping, but Twitter should have a policy for that explicitly.
The problem for the right with this episode, is Twitter is acting, call it suppressing or moderating or censoring, based on how they are interpreting a statement, not based on the literal words being used and that there's no clear policy. Taken as it is, I don't think it's disputable that there are some gang members, murderers, sexual predators, and drugs that cross the border, and if a wall is effective it'll stop them.
The left has a real problem separating text as written from their own inferences. Because their inferences are highly correlated with their political biases, it leads them to over-moderate the right. Morgan should not have been suspended for making a factual statement that didn't obviously violate Twitter's policy. Instead, Twitter should have, at most, slapped on a "Potentially racist implication" tag, and allowed Morgan to modify his language if he wanted it removed.